This paper introduces the method of building Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA) Model ARIMA ( p, d, q ) and SAS realizing, applies ARIMA Model to analyzing and forecasting Henan's GDP, the satisfying results are obtained. 本文介绍求和自回归移动平均模型ARIMA(p,d,q)的建模方法及SAS实现,将ARIMA模型应用于河南省历年GDP数据的分析与预测,得到较为满意的结果。
Objective To explore the application of auto regressive integrated moving average ( ARIMA ) and establish a predictive model for influenza to forecast the dynamic trend in order to develop the prevention policy scientifically. 目的探讨ARIMA模型在流感预测方面的应用,建立流感发病预测模型,并证明模型的适用性。